MODEL TRANSPARENCY

Analytics & Performance

All evaluation metrics are computed retrospectively against verified actual match results for the specified evaluation timeframe.

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HISTORICAL DEVELOPMENT

Historical Performance & League Crossover Zones

Jeder Punkt entspricht einem Matchday aus seiner Season. Die Performance-Metriken sind bis zu diesem Matchday kumuliert; die Crossover-Zones zeigen die dynamischen Rating-Grenzen zwischen den Ligen.

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Understanding the Metrics:

Accuracy: Percentage of matches where the predicted winner won.
Log Loss: Penalizes confident incorrect predictions (lower is better, optimal ~0.500-0.600).
Brier Score: Mean squared difference between probability and actual result (0 = perfect, lower is better).
Calibration Error: Measures if a 70% prediction wins 70% of the time in practice.